Match Info

Date: 31 December 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Aurora		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.33	5	6.5
	1.35	4.7	5.75
	1.36	4.9	6.2
	1.38	5.3	6.37
	1.36	4.8	6
	1.38	5.1	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.54)	4.94 ↑ (4)	6.29 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
67.1%

Draw
18.4%

Santa Cruz Recife
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

15.4%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	12%	20%

Aurora - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aurora: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent matches Aurora is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aurora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aurora is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.12.20	The Strongest - Aurora	2:0 ✺
27.12.20	Aurora - Blooming	3:2 ✺
25.12.20	Aurora - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	Guabirá - Aurora	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Guabirá	4:4 ✺
27.12.20	Nacional Potosí - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.12.20	Ituano - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Royal Pari	2:4 ✺
22.12.20	Bolívar - Santa Cruz Recife	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
27.11.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Aurora	4:2

Aurora - Santa Cruz Recife