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Current Win Probability
Aurora 67.1%
Draw 18.4%
Santa Cruz Recife 14.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
22.5%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
18.4%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.
Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68%
12%
20%
Aurora - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aurora: 49.7% – 86.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 14).
Recent matches Aurora is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Cruz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aurora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Aurora is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Aurora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
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