Match Info
Date: 29 December 2020, Tuesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Santa Cruz Recife |
|
Guabirá |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.33 |
4.33 |
1.6 |
|
 |
4.1 |
4.33 |
1.57 |
|
 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
1.62 |
|
 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
1.6 |
|
 |
4.35 |
4.53 |
1.65 |
|
 |
4.33 |
4 |
1.63 |
|
 |
4.2 |
4.25 |
1.68 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↑
(3.34) |
4.26 ↑
(3.81) |
1.62 ↓
(1.86) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz Recife
21.8% | Draw
21.5% | Guabirá
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz Recife's form might have worsened.Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guabirá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Santa Cruz Recife - Guabirá Predictions
Users Predictions:
Guabirá will win
(29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Copa Sudamericana). Santa Cruz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Guabirá is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Guabirá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Guabirá is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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