Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday


	Austria Lustenau		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.39	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.5
	5.95	4.79	1.4
	6.25	5.1	1.42	Watch
	5.8	4.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (4.14)	4.75 ↑ (4.2)	1.43 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Lustenau
16.3%

Draw
19.3%

St. Pauli
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

22.1%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

21.6%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Lustenau's form might have worsened.

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pauli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Lustenau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pauli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Austria Lustenau - St. Pauli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Helac A. (G) 28. Anderson 20. Fridrikas L. 7. Gmeiner F. 23. Grabher P. 6. Grujcic D. 31. Maak M. (C) 17. Marte R. 5. Matzler L. 18. Schmid A. 70. Surdanovic S.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 17. Afolayan O. 14. Amenyido E. 10. Hartel M. (C) 18. Medic J. 24. Metcalfe C. 3. Mets K. 27. Otto D. 2. Saliakas M. 8. Smith E. 12. Treu P.

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Austria Lustenau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Pauli is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Austria Lustenau have a series of guest games.

In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria Lustenau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Austria Lustenau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Lustenau
Club Friendly
04.07.23	St. Gallen - Austria Lustenau	1:2 ✺
30.06.23	Grasshoppers - Austria Lustenau	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
11.06.23	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	5:0 ✺
08.06.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	1:1 ✺
05.06.23	Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLLTW
- FC St. Pauli
Club Friendly
04.07.23	St. Pauli - Randers FC	4:1 ✺
30.06.23	Oldenburg - St. Pauli	0:6 ✺
23.06.23	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Pauli	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
28.05.23	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	1:1 ✺
19.05.23	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.15	Austria Lustenau - St. Pauli	0:1

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