Match Info

2. Liga - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Max-Aicher-Stadion (Salzburg)

Referee: Divkovic D. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Austria Salzburg		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.12	3.5	3.05
	2.35	3.87	2.74
	1.07	8.74	30.00	Watch
	2.16	3.5	3.08	Watch
	2.1	3.45	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.16)	4.41 ↑ (3.53)	7.48 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Salzburg
58.3%

Draw
26.2%

SPG Wels
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

25.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria Salzburg's performance.

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPG Wels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Salzburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SPG Wels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Austria Salzburg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria Salzburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Nesler-Taubl S. (G) 12. Sandmayr L. 24. Aigner S. 4. Kahrimanovic D. 55. Meisl L. (C) 37. Marusic G. 71. Gebauer C. 77. Bijelic D. 8. Cosgun D. 11. Lipczinski P. 45. Bares D.	1. Cechal M. (G) 3. Luan 4. Feyrer S. (C) 28. Gobara P. 12. Brugger M. 22. Conte K. 6. Muller P. 77. Thurnwald M. 42. Lechner F. 33. Bosnjak A. 9. Gashi A.
Substitutes
23. Collins M. 7. Gunes T. 18. Huber B. 1. Kalman M. (G) 80. Parkadze L. 10. Sorda M. 5. Theiner M.	23. Cirkovic M. 20. Malinowski S. 8. Radics A. 44. Schrocker K. (G) 7. Schwaighofer J. 17. Steinmann R. 14. Tischler L.
Coaches
Schaider C.	Heinle C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', Lechner F. ↓, Schwaighofer J. ↑,
16', 0 - 1, Gobara P. ⚽, Luan (A),
19', 1 - 1, Lipczinski P. ⚽, Gebauer C. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Gebauer C. ⚽, Cosgun D. (A),
45+2', Cosgun D. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 2, Feyrer S. ⚽, Schwaighofer J. (A),
45+5', Feyrer S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Muller P. 🟨,
59', Luan 🟨,
59', 3 - 2, Cosgun D. (Pen),
61', Brugger M. 🟨,
61', Sandmayr L. ↓, Parkadze L. ↑,
70', Thurnwald M. ↓, Tischler L. ↑,
70', Luan ↓, Radics A. ↑,
71', Gashi A. ↓, Malinowski S. ↑,
74', Brugger M. 🟨,
84', Cosgun D. ↓, Sorda M. ↑,
85', 4 - 2, Gebauer C. ⚽, Sorda M. (A),
90', Kahrimanovic D. ↓, Theiner M. ↑,
90+1', Gebauer C. ↓, Gunes T. ↑,
90+1', Lipczinski P. ↓, Collins M. ↑,
90+2', Schwaighofer J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Austria Salzburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SPG Wels has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

SPG Wels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Austria Salzburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Austria Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Austria Salzburg
Austrian 2 Liga
26.09.25	Bregenz - Austria Salzburg	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Austria Salzburg - St. Pölten	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Liefering - Austria Salzburg	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Austria Salzburg - Amstetten	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Floridsdorfer AC - Austria Salzburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLTW
- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
26.09.25	Austria Klagenfurt - SPG Wels	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	SPG Wels - Liefering	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	SPG Wels - Austria Wien II	0:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	SPG Wels - St. Pölten	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.01.25	Austria Salzburg - SPG Wels	0:2
26.02.22	SPG Wels - Austria Salzburg	4:1

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