Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 5P
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	15:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay
France	15:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	07:00	FOX One
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:00	Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 7
Slovakia	15:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	ON Plus
International	13:00	OneFootball TV


	Auxerre		Brest

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.50	2.37
	3.05	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.33
	2.89	3.61	2.33	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.3
	3.21	3.59	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.73)	3.54 ↑ (3.42)	2.31 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
31.3%

Draw
27.1%

Brest
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	31.2%	37.5%

Auxerre - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Brest will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 13.8% – 61.2%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diop M. (G) 15. Makosso C. 4. Tuanzebe A. 92. Akpa C. 27. Sy L. 46. Piedfort A. 5. Danois K. (C) 22. Oppegard F. 10. Namaso D. 9. Archer C. 3. Labeau Lascary R.	1. Selvik E. (G) 70. Lala K. 71. Le Guen R. 4. Lloris G. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 10. Versini G. 23. Doumbia K. 9. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
8. Ahamada N. 20. Diomande S. 34. Dioubate L. 17. Ekwah P. 21. Faivre R. 93. Fofana S. 35. Legros E. 32. Mandengue R. 1. Nardi P. (G)	17. Balde M. 18. Bourgault J. 21. Kante I. Y. 32. Laine M. L. C. 39. N'Guessan D. 7. Nonge J. 30. Patouillet M. (G) 29. Tousart L. 20. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Still W.	Lachuer J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Mboup P. ⚽, Chotard J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
46', Piedfort A. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Archer C. ⚽, Namaso D. (A),
68', Versini G. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
73', Makosso C. 🟨,
78', Lloris G. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
78', Mboup P. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
82', Lala K. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Le Guen R. (Own goal),
86', Chotard J. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
86', Ajorque L. ↓, Laine M. L. C. ↑,
86', Oppegard F. ↓, Mandengue R. ↑,
87', Namaso D. ↓, Ekwah P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Brest may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Auxerre: Diousse A. (Knee Injury) Okoh B. (Knee Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Siwe T. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Brest: Cagnon R. (Shoulder Injury) Chardonnet B. (Calf Injury) Diambou M. (Ankle Injury) Edjouma N. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Auxerre: Fofana S. (Groin Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:19 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Auxerre against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14:12	2	9

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Brest: 0.06% Auxerre: 0.04%

Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Auxerre - Angers	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lens - Auxerre	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Werder Bremen - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
13.09.26	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Le Havre - Brest	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brest - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Brest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0
14.02.25	Brest - Auxerre	2:2
27.09.24	Auxerre - Brest	3:0
14.05.23	Brest - Auxerre	1:0
02.10.22	Auxerre - Brest	1:1
French Ligue 2
11.02.19	Brest - Auxerre	1:0

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