Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Auxerre		Chambly

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.75
	1.8	3.2	4.9	Watch
	1.77	3.2	4.7
	1.83	3.34	5.3
	1.8	3.4	4.8	Watch
	1.86	3.24	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)	3.25 ↑ (3.19)	4.94 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
52.1%

Draw
28.9%

Chambly
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29.3%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

23.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Auxerre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Chambly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Auxerre - Chambly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

Auxerre has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Chambly has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chambly is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auxerre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
19.10.20	Guingamp - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	Auxerre - Ajaccio	5:1 ✺
26.09.20	Toulouse - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
21.09.20	Auxerre - Troyes	2:1 ✺
12.09.20	Auxerre - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
16.10.20	Chambly - Clermont	0:3 ✺
03.10.20	Sochaux - Chambly	3:2 ✺
26.09.20	Chambly - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Caen - Chambly	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Chambly - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.02.20	Auxerre - Chambly	0:0
13.09.19	Chambly - Auxerre	1:4

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