Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Toulouse		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.72	3.7	4.9	Watch
	1.81	3.64	5.05
	1.76	3.54	4.97	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.75
	1.82	3.58	5.38	Watch
	1.75	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.55 ↓ (3.59)	5.04 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
54.1%

Draw
26.9%

Auxerre
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Toulouse - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 6 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Auxerre (4.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Toulouse (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Toulouse (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toulouse will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 22 - 84.6%). Auxerre (votes: 4 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Restes G. (G) 3. McKenzie M. 4. Cresswell C. 2. Nicolaisen R. (C) 19. Sidibe D. 23. Casseres C. 18. Demba P. 15. Donnum A. 11. Hidalgo S. 10. Gboho Y. 20. Emersonn	16. Leon D. (G) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. (C) 17. El Azzouzi O. 5. Danois K. 28. Faivre R. 19. Namaso D. 10. Sinayoko L.
Substitutes
44. Bakhouche Piernas G. 31. Edjouma N. 16. Haug K. (G) 12. Kamanzi W. 35. Koumbassa S. 22. Messali R. 77. Sauer M. 7. Vignolo J. 45. Vossah A.	8. Ahamada N. 7. Casimir J. 21. Coulibaly L. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 9. Mara S. 24. Okoh B. 22. Oppegard F. 13. Siwe T.
Coaches
Martinez C.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Namaso D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', Faivre R. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
73', Sidibe D. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
74', Emersonn ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
74', Casseres C. 🟨,
80', Owusu E. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
85', Mensah G. ↓, Okoh B. ↑,
85', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
86', Namaso D. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
89', Sinayoko L. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.

Toulouse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Auxerre is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toulouse is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Francis A. (Broken Leg) Magri F. (Knee Injury) Methalie D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Matondo R. (Knock) Senaya M. (Yellow Cards) Sierralta F. (Injury)

We predict that Toulouse will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Toulouse: 0.42% Auxerre: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6
14	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Brest - Toulouse	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Toulouse - Nice	5:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Angers - Toulouse	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
02.01.26	Toulouse - Lens	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Lyon La Duchère - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
23.01.26	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Auxerre - Lille	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.09.25	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:0
09.02.25	Auxerre - Toulouse	2:2
01.12.24	Toulouse - Auxerre	2:0
27.05.23	Toulouse - Auxerre	1:1
11.01.23	Auxerre - Toulouse	0:5
French Ligue 2
19.03.22	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:2
16.10.21	Toulouse - Auxerre	6:0

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