The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Auxerre 62.1%
Draw 23.4%
Clermont 14.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.1%
21.4%
13.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
21.7%
13.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Auxerre - Clermont Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nardi P. (G)
8. Ahamada N.
92. Akpa C.
9. Archer C.
20. Diomande S.
17. Ekwah P.
21. Faivre R.
3. Labeau Lascary R.
32. Mandengue R.
22. Oppegard F.
38. Petit Dol A.
Substitutes
44. Cissokho M.
36. Fellice A.
37. Mezerette L. (G)
14. Sidibe I.
49. Wei Xiangxin
41. Zaddy Y.
77. Zossou A.
34. Zoukrou A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Faivre R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
50', 2 - 0, Archer C. ⚽,
53', 3 - 0, Archer C. ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽,
69', 4 - 1, Cantero E. ⚽,
72', 4 - 2, Bianchini F. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Diomande S. 🟥,
76', 4 - 3, Bianchini F. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Auxerre holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:21 (averaging 0.8:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Auxerre against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 0.6:0.9 per game).