Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	Caen		Chambly

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.72	3.4	5
	1.65	3.4	5.4	Watch
	1.66	3.4	5.2
	1.7	3.7	5.54
	1.67	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.6	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.5 ↑ (3.29)	5.37 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
55.9%

Draw
26.7%

Chambly
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

22.5%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Chambly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	9.1%	11.4%

Caen - Chambly Predictions

Users Predictions: Caen will win (35 of 44 users predict this - 79.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 91.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Caen has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Chambly has a chance of relegated (37%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Caen in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chambly is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Chambly have a series of home games.

In this match Caen is a favorite.

Chambly is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
12.09.20	Rodez - Caen	0:3 ✺
29.08.20	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
22.08.20	Clermont - Caen	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Le Mans - Caen	0:1
08.08.20	Caen - Amiens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWTWW
- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
12.09.20	Chambly - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Guingamp - Chambly	Canceled ✺
French Ligue 2
29.08.20	Niort - Chambly	1:1 ✺
22.08.20	Chambly - Paris FC	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.20	Chambly - Laval	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?TLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
31.01.20	Chambly - Caen	0:1
16.08.19	Caen - Chambly	0:0

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