Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Auxerre		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.45	4	7
	1.45	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4	6
	1.52	4.23	6.94
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.53	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	4.08 ↑ (3.91)	6.72 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
63%

Draw
23%

Châteauroux
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

19.7%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	7.9%	13.2%

Auxerre - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (30 of 38 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.99% – 91.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Auxerre has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Châteauroux has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Auxerre is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Châteauroux has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Châteauroux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Auxerre is indisputable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
09.01.21	Grenoble - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
05.01.21	Auxerre - Caen	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	Dunkerque - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
18.12.20	Auxerre - Pau	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Nancy - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWWT
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
08.01.21	Châteauroux - Guingamp	2:3 ✺
05.01.21	Troyes - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	Châteauroux - Clermont	0:1 ✺
18.12.20	Rodez - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Châteauroux - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
29.08.20	Châteauroux - Auxerre	1:2
01.11.19	Châteauroux - Auxerre	1:0
03.05.19	Auxerre - Châteauroux	1:2
14.12.18	Châteauroux - Auxerre	0:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
28.08.18	Auxerre - Châteauroux	2:1
French Ligue 2
27.04.18	Châteauroux - Auxerre	1:2
08.12.17	Auxerre - Châteauroux	1:2

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