Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 35

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dunkerque		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.7	1.8
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.41	3.82	1.82
	4.41	3.82	1.81
	4.2	3.7	1.75
	4.14	3.84	1.82	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.43)	3.74 ↑ (3.67)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
22.3%

Draw
25.2%

Auxerre
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.5%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.4%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	29.4%	64.7%

Dunkerque - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Auxerre will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 19. Youssouf B. 92. Maurer A. 26. Sangante O. 23. Lagae B. 80. Yassine G. 25. Gbamin J. 10. Anziani J. 20. Bardeli E. 7. Bilingi Y. 18. Courtet G.	16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 6. Agouzoul S. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. 97. Raveloson R. 17. Sinayoko L. 7. Hein G. 10. Perrin G. 19. Aye F.
Substitutes
2. Ba A. 9. Baghdadi S. 16. Balijon A. (G) 4. Fernandez N. 27. Ghrieb R. 8. Keita T. 11. Mughe F. R.	13. Akpa C. 2. Dagba C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 45. Onaiwu A. 5. Pellenard T. 75. Soumare I.
Coaches
Castro L.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Aye F. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Yassine G. ⚽, Sangante O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 1 - 1, Sinayoko L. ⚽,
61', Maurer A. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Courtet G. (Own goal),
65', Castro L. 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Raveloson R. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
72', Yassine G. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
72', Gbamin J. ↓, Keita T. ↑,
80', Courtet G. ↓, Baghdadi S. ↑,
81', Sangante O. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
87', Onaiwu A. ↓, Soumare I. ↑,
90', Owusu E. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 1.

Dunkerque is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Bordeaux - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Amiens - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Bastia - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Dunkerque - Annecy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLTL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Auxerre - Laval	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Rodez - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Quevilly - Auxerre	4:3 ✺
08.04.24	Auxerre - Troyes	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.10.23	Auxerre - Dunkerque	0:1
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Dunkerque - Auxerre	2:3 penalties
French Ligue 2
30.04.22	Auxerre - Dunkerque	1:0
11.12.21	Dunkerque - Auxerre	0:2
24.04.21	Auxerre - Dunkerque	2:1
22.12.20	Dunkerque - Auxerre	0:1

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