Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	beIN Connect
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, Tubi TV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Auxerre		Reims

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.15	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.32	3.55	2.27
	3.34	3.52	2.21	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.25
	3.38	3.54	2.29	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.58)	3.46 ↓ (3.54)	2.24 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
29.6%

Draw
27.6%

Reims
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auxerre's form might have worsened.

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reims's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reims than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reims, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.2%	39.4%	36.4%

Auxerre - Reims Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Reims will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 39.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.7% – 56.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 20. Diomande S. 4. Jubal (C) 3. Osho G. 23. Hoever K. 97. Raveloson R. 27. Danois K. 14. Mensah G. 10. Perrin G. 25. Traore H. J. 19. Aye F.	94. Diouf Y. (G) 23. Buta 21. Kipre C. 5. Agbadou E. 18. Akieme S. 15. Munetsi M. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 7. Ito J. 10. Teuma T. (C) 17. Nakamura K. 11. Salama A.
Substitutes
92. Akpa C. 9. Bair T. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 24. N'Gatta A. L. 45. Onaiwu A. 5. Pellenard T. 17. Sinayoko L. 77. Zossou A.	4. Busi M. 25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 19. Gabriel Moscardo 72. Kone A. 2. Okumu J. 20. Olliero A. (G) 55. Sangui N. 74. Sissoko N.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Atangana Edoa V. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Diomande S. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
23', Traore H. J. 🟨,
36', Jubal (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Traore H. J. ⚽, Mensah G. (A),
56', Buta 🟨,
60', Kipre C. ↓, Okumu J. ↑,
60', Teuma T. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
60', Buta ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
69', Osho G. ↓, Akpa C. ↑,
74', Salama A. ↓, Sissoko N. ↑,
75', Traore H. J. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
75', Aye F. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
84', Perrin G. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
84', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Nakamura K. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
90+5', Akpa C. 🟨,
90+5', Munetsi M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 0.

Auxerre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reims is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Reims could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Reims will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Auxerre: Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Owusu E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Reims: Khadra R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Agouzoul S. (Injury) Camara O. (Injury) Jubal (Injury) N'Gatta A. L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Gabriel Moscardo (Hip Injury) Kone A. (Thigh Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:16 (average 0.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
05.10.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
27.09.24	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Montpellier - Auxerre	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Auxerre - Monaco	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Le Havre - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
06.10.24	Reims - Montpellier	4:2 ✺
29.09.24	Angers - Reims	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nantes - Reims	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Reims - Rennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
05.02.23	Auxerre - Reims	0:0
23.10.22	Reims - Auxerre	2:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Auxerre - Reims	0:2
French Ligue 2
24.04.18	Auxerre - Reims	1:4
27.11.17	Reims - Auxerre	2:0
Club Friendly
07.07.17	Reims - Auxerre	1:2
French Ligue 2
03.03.17	Auxerre - Reims	1:2

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