Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 9

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Auxerre		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.53	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.46	6
	1.5	4	6
	1.53	4.33	5.65	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.2 ↑ (3.69)	5.82 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
61.5%

Draw
22.4%

Rodez
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

24.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auxerre's performance.

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auxerre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Auxerre - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 2. Dagba C. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 17. Sinayoko L. 19. Aye F.	16. Mpasi L. (G) 14. Danger B. 15. Raux Yao S. 21. Chougrani J. 6. Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 7. Younoussa W. 24. Haag G. 10. Taibi W. 28. Abdallah A. 12. Corredor K. 17. Hountondji A.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 13. Akpa C. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 26. Joly P. 11. Maddy E. 45. Onaiwu A.	22. Arconte T. 5. Boma K. 19. Buades L. 1. Cibois S. (G) 3. Lipinski R. 8. Rajot L. 18. Valerio A.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Santini D.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Auxerre to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
26.09.23	Auxerre - Annecy	4:0 ✺
23.09.23	Troyes - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Auxerre - Pau	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Bordeaux - Auxerre	2:4 ✺
26.08.23	Auxerre - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTWT
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
26.09.23	Rodez - Troyes	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Dunkerque - Rodez	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Rodez - Angers	4:1 ✺
02.09.23	Pau - Rodez	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Rodez - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
08.02.23	Auxerre - Rodez	2:3
French Ligue 2
05.03.22	Rodez - Auxerre	1:3
21.09.21	Auxerre - Rodez	1:0
27.02.21	Auxerre - Rodez	0:1
31.10.20	Rodez - Auxerre	2:2
26.07.19	Rodez - Auxerre	2:0

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