Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 6

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Avaí		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.35	4.8	8.8
	1.33	4.53	8.25	Watch
	1.25	4.8	8
	1.33	5.1	7.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)	4.81 ↑ (3.98)	8.14 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
69.7%

Draw
19.1%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Avaí - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor Bohn (G) 55. Bruno Baldini 36. DG 15. Guilherme Aquino 10. Jean Lucas 8. Luiz Henrique 7. Rafael Bilu 11. Sorriso 57. Walace Franca 52. Wesley Gasolina 77. Ze Ricardo	1. Ze Carlos (G) 3. Daniel Nunes 7. Gabriel Agu 6. Guilherme 5. Joao Martini 8. Luan Gama 11. Matheus Alessandro 10. MT 9. Paulo Victor 4. Renan Diniz 2. Ryan
Substitutes
9. Avenatti F. 6. Cabral N. 30. Cristiano 4. Gabriel Simples 18. Hyan 20. Isaias 16. Jamerson 21. Otavio Passos (G) 25. Paulo Vitor 43. Thayllon 2. Wallison 95. Wenderson	19. Caique 18. Cruz Manhaes O. 12. Eduardo (G) 21. Ewerton Potiguar 20. Jean 31. Kaua 13. Lucas Carvalho 22. Nunes G. 16. Pablo 15. Rodrigo Dantas 14. Ryan Andrade 17. Walber

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Luiz Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
30', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Thayllon ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Avaí is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Avaí	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Avaí - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Avaí - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLLW
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	América Mineiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWTL

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