The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí 52.9%
Draw 29.8%
Guarani 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
30.8%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
29.5%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.
Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.8%
15.4%
3.8%
Avaí - Guarani Predictions
Users Predictions:
Avaí will win
(21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 3. Tiago Pagnussat 95. Jonathan Costa 33. Mario Sergio 6. Willian Maranhao 77. Ze Ricardo 19. Joao Paulo 8. Giovanni (C) 7. Hygor 11. Mauricio Garcez
89. Vladimir (G) 13. Diogo Mateus 15. Pedro Henrique 12. Lucas Adell 2. Heitor 18. Matheus Bueno 5. Anderson Leite 40. Bruno Oliveira 19. Joao Victor 99. Caio Dantas 30. Airton
Substitutes
99. Ademilson 5. Alan 9. Gabriel Poveda 20. Gaspar 1. Igor Bohn (G) 25. Natanael 27. Pedrinho 4. Roberto Rosa 28. Ronaldo Henrique 72. Thales Oleques 83. Wanderson 10. Willian Pottker
14. Camacho 31. Douglas Borges (G) 10. Luan Dias 7. Luccas Paraizo 8. Marlon Douglas 4. Rayan 20. Reinaldo 29. Yan Henrique 32. Yuji
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo
Cordeiro M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Lucas Adell 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Airton ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Hygor ⚽, Ze Ricardo (A),
24', Willian Maranhao 🟨,
27', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
28', 1 - 2, Caio Dantas (Pen),
32', Airton 🟨,
33', Joao Paulo 🟨,
41', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
45+5', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
45+7', Giovanni 🟨,
45+7', Joao Victor 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Anderson Leite ↓, Camacho ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Hygor ⚽, Giovanni (A),
61', 3 - 2, Joao Paulo (Pen),
62', Hygor ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
66', Bruno Oliveira 🟨,
70', Airton ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
70', Bruno Oliveira ↓, Luan Dias ↑,
76', Giovanni ↓, Ademilson ↑,
76', Willian Maranhao ↓, Ronaldo Henrique ↑,
80', Matheus Bueno ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
86', Diogo Mateus ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
90+3', Luan Dias 🟨,
90+4', Camacho 🟨,
90+5', Willian Pottker 🟥,
90+7', Joao Paulo ↓, Roberto Rosa ↑,
90+9', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Avaí in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Guarani has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Avaí is a favorite.
There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes
(Injury)
Douglas Bacelar
(Injury)
Heitor
(Injury)
Leo Santos
(Red Card)
Marcio Silva
(Injury)
Pegorari
(Injury)
Vinicius Kaue
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Avaí to win the game is with odds 1.87.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Avaí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Brazil
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