The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí 26.6%
Draw 29.8%
Internacional RS 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
31.3%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
29.6%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.2%
23.9%
60.9%
Avaí - Internacional RS Predictions
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). Internacional will win (votes: 28 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 23.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 46.8% – 75%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification)).
Avaí has the most likely position - 19 (18.45%), has project points - 39, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Internacional has the most likely position - 4 (15.79%), has project points - 62, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality46, importance32, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1.
Avaí is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Internacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Internacional will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Avaí: Kevin
(Injury)
Morato
(Injury)
There will not play in Internacional: Rodrigo Moledo
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
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