Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Tobar Vargas R. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Internacional RS		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	8.5
	1.44	4.2	7.25
	1.41	4.2	7.5
	1.42	4.2	7.2
	1.45	4.48	7.97
	1.4	3.8	8
	1.41	4.33	7.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	4.2 ↑ (4.18)	7.73 ↑ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Canada

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
65.7%

Draw
22.3%

FBC Melgar
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

21.7%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.5%

26.5%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	26.3%	26.3%

Internacional RS - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Melgar will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Internacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melgar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Melgar have a series of home games.

In this match Internacional is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Internacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
07.08.22	Fortaleza - Internacional RS	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.08.22	FBC Melgar - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.07.22	Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro	3:0 ✺
24.07.22	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	Internacional RS - São Paulo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLT
- FBC Melgar
Copa Sudamericana
04.08.22	FBC Melgar - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
29.07.22	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
17.07.22	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
10.07.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.08.22	FBC Melgar - Internacional RS	0:0

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