The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Avaí 29.4%
Draw 31%
Corinthians 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
31.4%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
35.5%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
35.7%
21.4%
Avaí - Corinthians Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 17% – 68.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)).
Avaí has the most likely position - 19 (15.47%), has project points - 39, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Corinthians has the most likely position - 3 (14.77%), has project points - 64, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
This event has quality45, importance43, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 0.
Avaí is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Corinthians is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Avaí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Avaí: Morato
(Injury)
There will not play in Corinthians: Luan
(Injury)
Moraes J.
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Knee Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Injury)
There are questionable in Avaí: Galdezani M.
(Injury)
Romulo
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Avaí won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Portugal
Watch
#ad
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
