Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Aveley		Bath City

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.82
	3.5	3.5	1.97
	3.67	3.52	1.91
	3.75	3.48	1.95	Watch
	3.61	3.72	1.91
	3.55	3.4	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.37)	3.49 ↓ (3.71)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
25.4%

Draw
26.5%

Bath City
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

24.9%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Aveley - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Holness L. ⚽,
38', Ring J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Beadle H. 🟥,
57', 1 - 1, Nwabueze J. (Pen),
79', 2 - 1, Kawa D. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Wilson S. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Aveley is Relegated to

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Bath is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
21.04.25	Hornchurch - Aveley	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Aveley - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Salisbury - Aveley	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Slough Town - Aveley	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Aveley - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWLL
- Bath City
English National League South
21.04.25	Bath City - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Farnborough - Bath City	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Bath City	0:5 ✺
29.03.25	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.12.24	Bath City - Aveley	3:0
20.04.24	Aveley - Bath City	2:0
11.11.23	Bath City - Aveley	3:0

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