Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Aveley		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.4
	1.6	4	5
	1.6	4.38	4.68
	1.63	4.42	4.36
	1.53	4	4.5
	1.56	4.2	4.95
	1.6	3.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	4.11 ↑ (4)	4.63 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
57.9%

Draw
22.3%

Hungerford Town
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Aveley - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Aveley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hungerford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Aveley is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
04.12.23	Aveley - Welling United	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Aveley - Farnborough	3:4 ✺
25.11.23	Weymouth - Aveley	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Tonbridge Angels - Aveley	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Aveley - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTTW
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
05.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Tiverton Town - Hungerford Town	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Hungerford Town - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Hungerford Town - Truro City	2:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
14.11.23	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWT

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