Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Italy	17:15	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	18:15	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	17:15	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
United Kingdom	16:15	DCTV
Usa	11:15	DCTV
International	15:15	Onefootball


	Empoli		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.05	2.45	Watch
	2.92	3	2.45
	3.12	2.99	2.66
	3.03	2.93	2.51	Watch
	2.97	2.94	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.89)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	2.53 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
31.5%

Draw
31.4%

Venezia
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Empoli aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Empoli - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fulignati A. (G) 20. Lovato M. (C) 34. Guarino G. 5. Obaretin N. 7. Elia S. 18. Ghion A. 14. Yepes G. 79. Carboni F. 10. Ilie R. 15. Ceesay J. 11. Shpendi S.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 2. Korac S. 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. (C) 8. Doumbia I. 19. Bjarkason B. 9. Adorante A. 80. Casas A.
Substitutes
8. Belardinelli L. 2. Curto M. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 24. Ebuehi T. 32. Haas N. 28. Indragoli G. 90. Konate I. 27. Moruzzi B. 9. Pellegri P. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 70. Saporiti E.	37. Bohinen E. 7. Fila D. 4. Franjic B. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 30. Svoboda M. 16. Venturi M. 10. Yeboah J.
Coaches
Pagliuca G.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Ilie R. 🟨,
55', Ilie R. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
55', Ceesay J. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
58', Adorante A. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
60', Pellegri P. 🟨,
65', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
65', Shpendi S. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
72', Bjarkason B. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
72', Casas A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
72', Hainaut A. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
76', Ghion A. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
84', Sverko M. ↓, Franjic B. ↑,
85', Obaretin N. 🟨,
90+4', Franjic B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 0.

In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Franjic B. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
05.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Empoli - Monza	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Empoli - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Genoa - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.25	Pescara - Empoli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
04.10.25	Venezia - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Palermo - Venezia	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Venezia - Spezia	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Verona - Venezia	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Venezia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.04.25	Empoli - Venezia	2:2
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1
16.01.22	Venezia - Empoli	1:1
11.09.21	Empoli - Venezia	1:2
Italian Serie B
26.02.21	Empoli - Venezia	1:1
01.11.20	Venezia - Empoli	2:0
03.07.20	Venezia - Empoli	0:2

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