Match Info

Date: 21 February 2020, Friday


	Aves		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.44
	6.5	4.25	1.45	Watch
	6.65	4.32	1.43
	7.16	4.58	1.46
	7.5	4.4	1.42
	6.8	4.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.87 ↑ (6.41)	4.44 ↑ (4.32)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aves
13.7%

Draw
21.2%

Vitoria Guimarães
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

21.8%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

12%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aves than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-30%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37%	6.5%	56.5%

Aves - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Aves will win (votes: 17 - 37%). Guimarães will win (votes: 26 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 42.2% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aves
Liga Portugal
16.02.20	Famalicão - Aves	1:1 ✺
09.02.20	Aves - Rio Ave	0:4 ✺
02.02.20	Marítimo - Aves	1:2 ✺
26.01.20	Aves - Boavista	0:1 ✺
18.01.20	Aves - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLWLW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
16.02.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	1:2 ✺
08.02.20	Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães	0:7 ✺
02.02.20	Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
27.01.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
22.01.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.09.19	Vitoria Guimarães - Aves	5:1
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Vitoria Guimarães - Aves	1:0
Liga Portugal
19.04.19	Vitoria Guimarães - Aves	0:2
15.12.18	Aves - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
Club Friendly
18.07.18	Aves - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2
Liga Portugal
18.03.18	Vitoria Guimarães - Aves	2:1
29.10.17	Aves - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3

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