Match Info

JAPAN: Emperors Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)


	Avispa Fukuoka		Ehime

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.36	4.4	6.75
	1.38	4.75	7.5
	1.39	4.72	7.81
	1.39	4.67	7.61	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.38	4.7	7.85
	1.37	4.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	4.61 ↑ (4.08)	7.43 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
67.5%

Draw
20%

Ehime
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avispa Fukuoka's performance.

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Avispa Fukuoka - Ehime Predictions

Users Predictions: Avispa Fukuoka will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Sakata D. (G) 35. Hiratsuka Y. 10. Hisashi J. 4. Inoue S. 18. Iwasaki Y. 19. Kamekawa M. 8. Konno K. 88. Matsuoka D. 44. Moriyama K. 37. Tashiro M. (C) 9. Zahedi S.	36. Tsuji S. (G) 27. Funahashi K. 22. Ishiwatari N. 18. Kikuchi S. 5. Maeno T. (C) 16. Mihara S. 17. Motegi S. 40. Sota K. 6. Tanioka M. 38. Ura J. 23. Yu Y.
Substitutes
25. Kitajima Y. 5. Miya D. 31. Murakami M. (G) 16. Oda I. 27. Sato R. 30. Shigemi M. 28. Tsuruno R.	21. Bak Keon-Woo 11. Fujihara Y. 20. Kang S. 13. Kubota R. 7. Soneda Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 1. Tokushige K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', 🟨,
24', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hisashi J. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Mihara S. ⚽,
54', Moriyama K. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
57', 🟥,
75', 0 - 2, Fujihara Y. ⚽,
83', Zahedi S. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 4.

Avispa Fukuoka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ehime is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avispa Fukuoka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
07.07.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWTW
- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
07.07.24	Ehime - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:4 ✺
29.06.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Ehime	4:0 ✺
22.06.24	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Ehime - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.12.20	Ehime - Avispa Fukuoka	0:2
29.07.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Ehime	1:1
31.08.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Ehime	3:0
20.04.19	Ehime - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
22.09.18	Ehime - Avispa Fukuoka	2:3
12.05.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Ehime	2:0
09.09.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Ehime	0:1

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