The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 43.5%
Draw 28.9%
Avispa Fukuoka 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
27.3%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
27.1%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.1%
35.3%
17.6%
Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 23.4% – 70.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Tokyo (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 50%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (C) 7. Anzai S. 24. Scholz A. 3. Morishige M. 2. Muroya S. 28. Nozawa L. 10. Higashi K. 37. Koizumi K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 16. Sato K. 19. Marcelo Ryan
31. Murakami M. (G) 37. Tashiro M. 3. Nara T. (C) 20. Ando T. 16. Oda I. 88. Matsuoka D. 11. Miki T. 77. Shichi T. 18. Iwasaki Y. 14. Nago S. 17. Wellington
Substitutes
32. Doi K. 22. Endo K. 18. Hashimoto K. 13. Hatano G. (G) 44. Henrique Trevisan 40. Marcos Guilherme 26. Nagakura M. 5. Nagatomo Y. 39. Nakagawa T.
15. Akino H. 13. Ben Khalifa N. 22. Fujimoto K. 47. Hashimoto Y. 8. Konno K. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 32. Sani Brown A. 2. Yuzawa M. 9. Zahedi S.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Kim Myong-hwi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Shichi T. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Anzai S. (A),
45+1', Wellington 🟨,
45+3', Wellington 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
46', Shichi T. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
55', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
66', Higashi K. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
66', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
66', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
76', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
76', Nago S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
83', Oda I. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
86', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
89', Anzai S. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
Tokyo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).