Match Info

JAPAN: EMPERORS CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)


	Avispa Fukuoka		Gifu

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.5	3.9	5.9
	1.55	3.78	5.96
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.53	3.9	6.05
	1.56	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.85)	3.8 ↑ (3.48)	5.74 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
59.9%

Draw
24.1%

Gifu
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avispa Fukuoka's performance.

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gifu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avispa Fukuoka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gifu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Avispa Fukuoka - Gifu Predictions

Users Predictions: Avispa Fukuoka will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 10. Hisashi J. 99. Ideguchi Y. 26. Inoue S. 9. Lukian 29. Maejima Y. 3. Nara T. (C) 16. Oda I. 14. Tanaka T. 28. Tsuruno R. 18. Wellington	31. Ono C. (G) 39. Endo G. 26. Hada I. 6. Kita R. 16. Kubota K. (C) 19. Matsumoto A. 41. Mikuni S. 48. Taguchi Y. 15. Ukita K. 25. Wada Y. 9. Yamauchi H.
Substitutes
33. Grolli D. 7. Kanamori T. 6. Mae H. 41. Sakata D. (G) 27. Sato R. 11. Yamagishi Y. 2. Yuzawa M.	23. Hagino K. 33. Ishizaka R. 8. Kubota R. 28. Kusumoto T. 21. Matsumoto T. (G) 32. Yamauchi A. 27. Yokoyama T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gifu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
08.07.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
30.06.23	Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
18.06.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.06.23	Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWL
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
09.07.23	Nara Club - Gifu	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Fukushima United - Gifu	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Gifu - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.08.19	Gifu - Avispa Fukuoka	0:2
06.07.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Gifu	1:3
17.11.18	Gifu - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
24.02.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Gifu	2:0
24.09.17	Gifu - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
01.07.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Gifu	1:0
23.11.15	Gifu - Avispa Fukuoka	1:4

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