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Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka 50.7%
Draw 26.5%
Avispa Fukuoka 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
27%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
26.4%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 4. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 66. Ohata A. 18. Ishiwatari N. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 48. Shibayama M. 13. Nakajima M. 19. Homma S. 11. Thiago Andrade
41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 5. Kamijima T. 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 8. Okuno K. 11. Miki T. (C) 22. Fujimoto K. 6. Shigemi M. 25. Kitajima Y. 7. Usui S.
Substitutes
27. Cools D. 8. Kagawa S. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 26. Kubo E. 9. Sakuragawa S. 3. Tanaka H. 7. Uejo S. 14. Yokoyama Y.
46. Fukushima K. 29. Maejima Y. 27. Michiwaki Y. 45. Miya D. 3. Nara T. 99. Obi P. O. (G) 32. Sani Brown A. 34. Shiihashi K. 33. Yamawaki K.
Coaches
Papas A.
Tsukahara S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Usui S. ⚽,
35', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
37', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
40', Tanaka S. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Inoue R. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Okuno K. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
62', Kitajima Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
63', Shibayama M. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
63', Homma S. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
73', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
73', Thiago Andrade ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
82', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
82', Fujimoto K. ↓, Fukushima K. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kagawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Shiihashi K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tanaka S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Shigemi M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cools D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Michiwaki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hatanaka S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kamijima T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 5.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cerezo Osaka has had a series of away games.
Cerezo Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Sakata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Yengi K.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Nago S.
(Red Card)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
China
Japan
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Nakamura K. (G) 
Thiago Andrade 
Cools D. 
Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 
Papas A. 
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