Match Info
J1 League - Round 11Date: 19 April 2026, SundayLocation: Toyota Stadium (Toyota City)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
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Nagoya Grampus |
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Avispa Fukuoka |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus
48.8% | Draw
27.5% | Avispa Fukuoka
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.5%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Schmidt D. (G)
70. Hara T.
13. Fujii H.
31. Takamine T.
19. Koda H.
14. Morishima T.
15. Inagaki S. (C)
27. Nakayama K.
7. Izumi R.
22. Kimura Y.
11. Yamagishi Y.
| 41. Fujita K. (G)
16. Oka T.
37. Tashiro M.
15. Tsujioka Y.
47. Hashimoto Y.
8. Okuno K.
11. Miki T. (C)
29. Maejima Y.
6. Shigemi M.
25. Kitajima Y.
7. Usui S.
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| Substitutes |
9. Asano Y.
33. Kikuchi T.
20. Mikuni K.
44. Mori S.
2. Nogami Y.
41. Ono M.
35. Pisano A. (G)
30. Sugiura S.
17. Uchida T.
| 22. Fujimoto K.
46. Fukushima K.
27. Michiwaki Y.
45. Miya D.
3. Nara T.
99. Obi P. O. (G)
32. Sani Brown A.
28. Tsuruno R.
33. Yamawaki K.
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| Coaches |
 Petrovic M.
| Tsukahara S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
- 33', Oka T. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 2, Shigemi M. ⚽, Miki T. (A),
- 41', Shigemi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 46', Hara T. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 64', Shigemi M. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
- 64', Maejima Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
- 64', Oka T. ↓, Nara T. ↑,
- 67', Nara T. 🟨,
- 69', Kitajima Y. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
- 71', Michiwaki Y. 🟨,
- 71', Koda H. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 79', Izumi R. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 79', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
- 82', Usui S. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Asano Y. ⚽, Kimura Y. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Kimura Y. ⚽, Ono M. (A),
- 90+10', Takamine T. 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tashiro M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Michiwaki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Sugiura S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Okuno K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kimura Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kikuchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)There are questionable in Nagoya: Hara T.
(Inactive)
Mateus
(Injury)In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.4:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
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Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Nagoya Grampus: 1.93% Avispa Fukuoka: 0.79%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
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| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Japan J1 League | | | 07.03.26 | Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus | 1:5 | | 06.12.25 | Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka | 1:0 | | 17.05.25 | Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus | 1:1 | | 04.10.24 | Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus | 1:0 | | 07.04.24 | Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka | 0:0 | | Japan J League Cup | | | 15.10.23 | Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka | 0:1 | | 11.10.23 | Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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