The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 48.8%
Draw 27.5%
Avispa Fukuoka 23.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.2%
26.2%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
26.4%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
0%
57.1%
Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schmidt D. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 31. Takamine T. 19. Koda H. 14. Morishima T. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 37. Tashiro M. 15. Tsujioka Y. 47. Hashimoto Y. 8. Okuno K. 11. Miki T. (C) 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 25. Kitajima Y. 7. Usui S.
Substitutes
9. Asano Y. 33. Kikuchi T. 20. Mikuni K. 44. Mori S. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 35. Pisano A. (G) 30. Sugiura S. 17. Uchida T.
22. Fujimoto K. 46. Fukushima K. 27. Michiwaki Y. 45. Miya D. 3. Nara T. 99. Obi P. O. (G) 32. Sani Brown A. 28. Tsuruno R. 33. Yamawaki K.
Coaches
Petrovic M.
Tsukahara S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Usui S. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
33', Oka T. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Shigemi M. ⚽, Miki T. (A),
41', Shigemi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
46', Hara T. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
64', Shigemi M. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
64', Maejima Y. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
64', Oka T. ↓, Nara T. ↑,
67', Nara T. 🟨,
69', Kitajima Y. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
71', Michiwaki Y. 🟨,
71', Koda H. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
79', Izumi R. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
79', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
82', Usui S. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Asano Y. ⚽, Kimura Y. (A),
90+3', 2 - 2, Kimura Y. ⚽, Ono M. (A),
90+10', Takamine T. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Tsujioka Y. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tashiro M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Michiwaki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sugiura S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Okuno K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kimura Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kikuchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Hara T.
(Inactive)
Mateus
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).