Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 3

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Avispa Fukuoka		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.95	3.11	1.83	Watch
	4.37	3.59	1.89
	4.32	3.57	1.86	Watch
	4	3.25	1.85
	4.34	3.56	1.85	Watch
	4	3.15	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.55)	3.39 ↑ (3.19)	1.85 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
22.4%

Draw
27.4%

Kawasaki Frontale
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kawasaki Frontale's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	13.6%	81.8%

Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Obata Y. (G) 5. Kamijima T. 37. Tashiro M. 20. Ando T. 2. Yuzawa M. 15. Akino H. 77. Shichi T. 11. Miki T. 14. Nago S. 13. Ben Khalifa N. 7. Kanamori T.	98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 31. van Wermeskerken S. 2. Takai K. 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 6. Yamamoto Y. 8. Tachibanada K. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. 23. Marcinho 20. Yamada S.
Substitutes
22. Fujimoto K. 4. Inoue S. 18. Iwasaki Y. 25. Kitajima Y. 8. Konno K. 88. Matsuoka D. 31. Murakami M. (G) 17. Wellington 9. Zahedi S.	9. Erison 17. Ito T. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 19. Kawahara S. 7. Kurumaya S. 24. Miyagi T. 28. Patrick Verhon 5. Sasaki A. 26. Yamauchi H.
Coaches
Kim Myong-hwi	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Ben Khalifa N. ⚽, Akino H. (A),
24', Takai K. 🟨,
33', Tachibanada K. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Ienaga A. ⚽, Miura S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
57', Kanamori T. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
58', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
68', van Wermeskerken S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
69', Yamada S. ↓, Erison ↑,
69', Ienaga A. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
74', Nago S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
74', Shichi T. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
78', Marcinho 🟨,
80', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
82', Ando T. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Erison ⚽, Ito T. (A),
86', Yuzawa M. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
90+5', Fujimoto K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 0.

Kawasaki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avispa Fukuoka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kawasaki will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Nara T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kawasaki: Kamihashi R. (Inactive) Kanda S. (International duty) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Ozeki Y. (International duty) Tsuchiya K. (International duty)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Muscle Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:29 (average 1.2:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
22.02.25	Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
22.02.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Central Coast Mariners	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.02.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus	4:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.02.25	Pohang Steelers - Kawasaki Frontale	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Ryūkyū	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
08.12.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka	3:1
06.05.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1
20.10.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka	4:2
Japan Emperors Cup
08.10.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka	4:2
Japan J1 League
29.04.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:3
20.08.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale	1:4
14.05.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0

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