Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday


	Avispa Fukuoka		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.33
	1.8	3.3	4.6	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.1
	1.93	3.48	4.33
	1.88	3.25	4.2
	1.92	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	3.35 ↓ (3.37)	4.28 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
50.2%

Draw
27.9%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Avispa Fukuoka in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Thespakusatsu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thespakusatsu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
19.09.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
16.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
13.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
09.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWWWW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
20.09.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ehime	1:0 ✺
13.09.20	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
09.09.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
05.09.20	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.07.17	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Avispa Fukuoka	1:3
28.05.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3
08.11.15	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Avispa Fukuoka	0:4
06.05.15	Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1
19.10.14	Avispa Fukuoka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1
26.04.14	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2

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