Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Avispa Fukuoka		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.3	3.75
	1.9	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.65
	2.03	3.53	3.88
	1.95	3.3	3.75
	2	3.54	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.98)	3.41 ↑ (3.36)	3.77 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
47.9%

Draw
27.4%

Renofa Yamaguchi
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

18.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avispa Fukuoka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renofa Yamaguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 22).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
02.09.20	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
29.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
23.08.20	Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
19.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
15.08.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League
02.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
29.08.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:3 ✺
22.08.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
19.08.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
16.08.20	Renofa Yamaguchi - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.09.19	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0
30.06.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:4
13.10.18	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
14.04.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0
30.09.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1
05.03.17	Renofa Yamaguchi - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
07.09.16	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3 penalties

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