Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5	3.2	1.66
	6	3.6	1.57	Watch
	5	3.5	1.66
	5.49	3.75	1.7
	5.25	3.5	1.63
	5.35	3.8	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (5.1)	3.56 ↓ (3.59)	1.65 (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
17.6%

Draw
26%

Kyoto Sanga
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.8%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

21.4%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyoto Sanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Thespakusatsu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kyoto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Thespakusatsu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kyoto is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
10.10.21	Mito HollyHock - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2 ✺
25.09.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Ryūkyū - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1 ✺
12.09.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWL
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J2 League
10.10.21	Kyoto Sanga - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Kyoto Sanga - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Kyoto Sanga - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
13.06.21	Kyoto Sanga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:2
20.12.20	Kyoto Sanga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1
09.09.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kyoto Sanga	0:2
05.11.17	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kyoto Sanga	1:1
01.07.17	Kyoto Sanga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0
10.07.16	Kyoto Sanga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:0
09.04.16	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kyoto Sanga	0:1

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