Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Omiya Ardija		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.4	3	3.1	Watch
	2.36	2.95	3.05
	2.5	3.07	3.24
	2.4	3	3
	2.43	3.13	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	3.1 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
39.3%

Draw
30.6%

Avispa Fukuoka
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

30%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

19.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Omiya Ardija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39%	36.6%	24.4%

Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 16 - 39%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 10 - 24.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 36.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omiya: 24.1% – 53.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 8).

Recent matches Omiya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avispa Fukuoka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Omiya will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Omiya won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Omiya won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
13.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
09.09.20	Ryūkyū - Omiya Ardija	5:0 ✺
05.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
02.09.20	Omiya Ardija - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTWL
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
13.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
09.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
29.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.11.19	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	3:0
02.06.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija	1:1
29.09.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija	3:1
25.03.18	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1
Japan J1 League
06.08.16	Omiya Ardija - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0
04.05.16	Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija	1:2
Japan J2 League
18.07.15	Avispa Fukuoka - Omiya Ardija	1:3

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