Match Info

Date: 9 September 2020, Wednesday


	Montedio Yamagata		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.25	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.3
	2.3	3.17	3.47
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.25	3.28	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.11)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.36 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
42.3%

Draw
29.9%

Avispa Fukuoka
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Montedio Yamagata will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
05.09.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
02.09.20	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
29.08.20	Ryūkyū - Montedio Yamagata	1:4 ✺
23.08.20	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	3:1 ✺
19.08.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWT
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
05.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	JEF United Chiba - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2 ✺
29.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
23.08.20	Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
19.08.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
31.07.19	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2
26.04.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
21.10.18	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	2:2
03.05.18	Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
29.07.17	Avispa Fukuoka - Montedio Yamagata	2:0
26.03.17	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
09.11.14	Montedio Yamagata - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1

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