The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avispa Fukuoka 36.5%
Draw 31.6%
Tokushima Vortis 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
30.4%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
22.2%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.2%
29.2%
16.7%
Avispa Fukuoka - Tokushima Vortis Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Tokushima will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 34.3% โ 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Avispa Fukuoka has the most likely position - 11 (18.26%), has project points - 52, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Tokushima has the most likely position - 17 (28.73%), has project points - 35, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Recent matches Avispa Fukuoka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tokushima is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Avispa Fukuoka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-2.
Watch
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