Match Info

Date: 25 August 2021, Wednesday


	Tokushima Vortis		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.7	3	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.91	3.15	2.73
	2.7	3	2.62	Watch
	2.78	3.22	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.53)	3.08 ↓ (3.13)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
34.2%

Draw
30.5%

Kashiwa Reysol
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokushima Vortis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashiwa Reysol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tokushima Vortis - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 16 and 15).

Tokushima has the most likely position - 17 (21.95%), has project points - 37, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Kashiwa has the most likely position - 14 (20.96%), has project points - 43, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tokushima is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kashiwa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Kashiwa have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J1 League
21.08.21	Tokushima Vortis - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
15.08.21	Kashima Antlers - Tokushima Vortis	3:0 ✺
09.08.21	Tokushima Vortis - Gamba Osaka	2:1 ✺
11.07.21	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
21.08.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Sagan Tosu	1:3 ✺
14.08.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	0:0 ✺
09.08.21	Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2 ✺
11.07.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
24.04.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokushima Vortis	5:1
Japan J2 League
13.07.19	Tokushima Vortis - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2
12.05.19	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
Japan J1 League
02.11.14	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
23.03.14	Tokushima Vortis - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2

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