Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Avispa Fukuoka		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.95	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2	3.25	3.65
	2.02	3.54	3.96
	2	3.25	3.75
	2.03	3.35	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)	3.37 ↑ (3.26)	3.77 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
47.2%

Draw
27.9%

Vegalta Sendai
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

19.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avispa Fukuoka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vegalta Sendai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avispa Fukuoka - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Sendai is Relegated to J2 League

Avispa Fukuoka has the most likely position - 8 (87.12%), has project points - 55, has currently - 52, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Sendai has the most likely position - 20 (47.13%), has project points - 29, has currently - 27, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Recent matches Avispa Fukuoka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sendai is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avispa Fukuoka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
20.11.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
03.11.21	Avispa Fukuoka - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Consadole Sapporo - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
16.10.21	Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWTL
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J1 League
20.11.21	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Vegalta Sendai - Nagoya Grampus	1:1 ✺
03.11.21	Vissel Kobe - Vegalta Sendai	4:2 ✺
23.10.21	Vegalta Sendai - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
15.05.21	Vegalta Sendai - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
30.07.16	Avispa Fukuoka - Vegalta Sendai	1:1
08.05.16	Vegalta Sendai - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0
Japan Nabisco Cup
20.04.16	Vegalta Sendai - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0

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