Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)

Referee: Haro D. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Ayacucho		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5.18
	1.87	3.54	3.74	Watch
	1.7	3.54	4.92	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	4.52 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
52.8%

Draw
26.5%

Comerciantes Unidos
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ayacucho - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Valencia J. (G) 29. Falconi J. 22. Bilbao J. 55. Leon Canchanya B. H. 12. Caro D. 8. Ramirez D. 66. de la Cruz A. 16. Vilchez J. 88. Arakaki H. 99. Caballero F. 77. Lucumi J.	23. Villete A. (G) 25. Guzman W. 40. Alcedo F. 31. Aguilar R. 16. Tecilla N. 35. Paredes G. 20. Parodi J. 30. Marina J. 22. Marchioni J. 36. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 9. Sen M. (C)
Substitutes
25. Ataupillco J. 27. Barrios K. 20. Correa Flores C. A. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 24. Perez Azambuya E. M. 33. Salcedo R. 5. Tamariz A. 6. Tuesta J. 4. Yovera A.	15. Carpio Ferro M. P. 1. Caytuiro F. (G) 34. Chipao R. 76. Figueroa N. 12. Garcia L. 99. Nunez J. 6. Paico K. 37. Vilchez Y.
Coaches
Castellanos S.	Biaggio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Izaguirre P. 🟨,
45+1', Paredes G. 🟨,
45+3', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Marina J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Caballero F. ⚽,
61', Paredes G. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
62', Garcia L. 🟨,
64', Vilchez J. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
65', Tecilla N. 🟨,
67', Marina J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
67', Parodi J. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
70', Falconi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
79', Caballero F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
79', Ramirez D. ↓, Tuesta J. ↑,
79', Caro D. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
80', Alcedo F. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
80', Guzman W. ↓, Vilchez Y. ↑,
90+4', Garcia L. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.

Ayacucho has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Comerciantes Unidos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ayacucho is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Ayacucho: Ganoza M. (Yellow Cards) Orue D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Mendez P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Cardenas P. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
01.11.25	Los Chankas - Ayacucho	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ayacucho - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:2 ✺
20.10.25	Universitario de Deportes - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ayacucho - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Sporting Cristal - Ayacucho	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTL
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
01.11.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:4 ✺
24.10.25	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
05.07.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	0:1
Peruvian Liga 2
19.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	3:1
23.04.23	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Unidos	2:4
Peruvian Liga 1
01.09.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	Ayacucho awarded
18.05.18	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2
06.04.18	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Unidos	2:3
17.02.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	2:1

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