The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comerciantes Unidos 52.6%
Draw 26.2%
Sporting Cristal 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
28.3%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
27.6%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Unidos's performance.
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Unidos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 30. Guzman P. 15. Cossio A. 19. Lino D. 11. Herrera J. 4. Arias A. 18. Rodriguez A. 25. Vilca R. 9. Sen M. (C)
1. Enriquez D. (G) 18. Gonzalez J. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 96. Abram L. 32. Diaz L. 26. Wisdom I. 25. Tavara M. (C) 37. Lora F. 7. Gonzalez S. 9. Vizeu F. 14. Benavente C.
Substitutes
10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 7. Carranza M. 99. Charun J. (G) 5. Correa Flores C. A. 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 14. Salinas T. 3. Vasquez C.
2. Ballumbrosio D. 33. Bautista C. (G) 42. Burga J. 21. Cabellos C. 44. Castillo G. 23. Castro M. 41. Cuenca J. 28. Otoya D. 97. Rodriguez M.
Coaches
Biaggio C.
Bulos I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Biaggio C. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Sen M. ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
28', Abram L. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
29', Posito Olazabal A. J. 🟨,
45+6', Lora F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Lino D. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
64', Vizeu F. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
64', Benavente C. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
67', Vilca R. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
67', Herrera J. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
71', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
73', Sen M. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
73', Arias A. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
81', Wisdom I. ↓, Otoya D. ↑,
81', Diaz L. ↓, Burga J. ↑,
90+3', Salinas T. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1.
Comerciantes Unidos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Sporting Cristal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Comerciantes Unidos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Rodriguez J.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.3:2.3).