The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ayacucho 42.3%
Draw 28.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso 28.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.9%
28.1%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
27.6%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Valencia J. (G) 3. Ganoza M. 22. Bilbao J. 88. Arakaki H. 29. Falconi J. 12. Caro D. 18. Orue D. 8. Ramirez D. 66. de la Cruz A. 77. Lucumi J. 99. Caballero F.
1. Zubczuk P. (G) 18. Nunez O. 13. Lojas J. 16. Beltran C. 14. Gallardo J. 22. Portales J. 11. Erustes P. 23. Moreno X. 8. Gomez N. 10. Sandoval K. 38. Sinisterra J.
Substitutes
26. Aquino H. 27. Barrios K. 20. Correa Flores C. A. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 24. Perez Azambuya E. M. 33. Salcedo R. 5. Tamariz A. 6. Tuesta J. 16. Vilchez J.
31. Barbieri J. (G) 7. Bazan J. 26. Celi Y. 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 19. Naya E. 25. Paucar E. 2. Salazar A. 28. Valer J. F. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Castellanos S.
Bustos C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Arakaki H. ⚽, Caballero F. (A),
21', Lojas J. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Caballero F. ⚽, Arakaki H. (A),
31', Nunez O. 🟨,
31', Lucumi J. 🟨,
32', Nunez O. 🟥,
32', Lucumi J. 🟥,
40', Lojas J. 🟨,
42', Barbieri J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Moreno X. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
46', Gallardo J. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
52', Bilbao J. 🟨,
59', Caro D. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
60', Caballero F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
62', Sinisterra J. ↓, Naya E. ↑,
65', de la Cruz A. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
66', Gomez N. 🟨,
66', Gomez N. 🟨,
67', Tamariz A. 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽,
74', Bilbao J. 🟨,
77:00, 3 - 1, Naya E. (Pen),
78', Arakaki H. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
78', Ramirez D. ↓, Vilchez J. ↑,
79', Sandoval K. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Naya E. ⚽,
90+3', Ganoza M. 🟨,
90+5', Celi Y. 🟨,
90+9', 4 - 2, Orue D. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Ayacucho: Leon Canchanya B. H.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F.
(Broken collarbone)
Canales E.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J.
(Injury)
Caballero F.
(Injury)
Yovera A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Canales E.
(Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.