Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 6 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Cumana (Ayacucho)


	Ayacucho		Juan Aurich

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.51	3.04
	2.2	3.44	2.93
	3.2	3.45	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.89)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	2.65 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
37.7%

Draw
27%

Juan Aurich
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.

Juan Aurich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Aurich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayacucho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Aurich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ccorahua A. (G) 11. Barboza S. 8. De la Cruz P. 20. Huayhua C. 27. Leon B. 30. Loayza G. 90. Rios M. 9. Sanchez G. 4. Vega R. 16. Vilchez J. 24. Zevallos J. (C)	1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 3. Butron F. 22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 10. Lugo K. 13. Reyes O. 9. Rivas C. 33. Rodriguez D 21. Salcedo J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 2.

Recent matches Ayacucho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juan Aurich is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juan Aurich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
02.09.23	Ayacucho - Carlos Stein	7:0 ✺
10.08.23	Unión Huaral - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
03.08.23	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Ayacucho	3:2 ✺
26.07.23	Ayacucho - Los Chankas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWLL
- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
30.08.23	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Carlos Stein - Juan Aurich	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
10.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
12.06.23	Juan Aurich - Ayacucho	1:1
Peruvian Liga 1
27.09.17	Juan Aurich - Ayacucho	2:0
24.06.17	Ayacucho - Juan Aurich	3:1
14.08.16	Ayacucho - Juan Aurich	1:0
07.05.16	Juan Aurich - Ayacucho	2:0
08.11.15	Ayacucho - Juan Aurich	2:1
07.08.15	Juan Aurich - Ayacucho	5:0

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