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Current Win Probability
Ayacucho 50.9%
Draw 28.1%
Juan Pablo II College 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
24.3%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.8%
24.7%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayacucho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Ayacucho - Juan Pablo II College Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - Ayacucho (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ayacucho will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ayacucho will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayacucho (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Valencia J. (G) 29. Falconi J. 22. Bilbao J. 55. Leon Canchanya B. H. 5. Tamariz A. 18. Orue D. 16. Vilchez J. 77. Lucumi J. 66. de la Cruz A. 88. Arakaki H. 99. Caballero F.
23. Vega M. (G) 25. Alfani R. 26. Agurto F. 77. Rasmussen M. 31. Toledo J. 21. Vega J. 7. Fernandez R. 5. Peralta M. 32. Ramirez C. 16. Canova J. 9. Villar E.
Substitutes
26. Aquino H. 27. Barrios K. 3. Ganoza M. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 14. Loayza G. 24. Perez Azambuya E. M. 8. Ramirez D. 33. Salcedo R. 4. Yovera A.
11. Aliaga R. 6. Flores C. 18. Loyola N. 12. Quispe I. (G) 13. Rodriguez N. 37. Rojas A. 3. Sanchez A. 30. Soto J. 10. Tizon C.
Coaches
Castellanos S.
Acasiete S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Alfani R. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Ramirez C. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Caballero F. (Pen),
45+9', Loyola N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
58', Villar E. ↓, Tizon C. ↑,
58', Rasmussen M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
64', Vilchez J. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
64', Agurto F. ↓, Loyola N. ↑,
72', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Bilbao J. ⚽,
77', Arakaki H. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
83', Vega J. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
83', Toledo J. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
83', Caballero F. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
87', Tizon C. 🟨,
88', Valencia J. 🟨,
90+6', Barrios K. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ayacucho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ayacucho is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Ayacucho: Peral P.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Juan Pablo II: Fernandez F.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.