Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	FBC Melgar		Ayacucho

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	11	Watch
	1.28	5	8
	1.18	6.8	14	Watch
	1.18	6.06	13.59
	1.37	4.48	8.61	Watch
	1.3	4.8	9.5
	1.23	6.05	12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.29)	5.67 ↑ (5.13)	10.96 ↑ (9.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
75%

Draw
16.5%

Ayacucho
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

18.1%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

FBC Melgar - Ayacucho Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Melgar (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Caceda C. (G) 33. Lazo M. 2. Barrios P. 5. Deneumostier A. 13. Llontop M. 24. Tandazo W. 15. Orzan H. 7. Bordacahar C. 18. Quagliata N. 14. Vidales J. 9. Cuesta B.	23. Valencia J. (G) 29. Falconi J. 3. Ganoza M. 55. Leon Canchanya B. H. 4. Yovera A. 22. Bilbao J. 88. Arakaki H. 16. Vilchez J. 18. Orue D. 12. Caro D. 99. Caballero F.
Substitutes
28. Arias A. 25. Barreda M. 99. D'Arrigo J. 1. Farro R. (G) 8. Guzman L. 17. Liza P. 10. Martinez T. 4. Ramos E. 19. Rodriguez G.	26. Aquino H. 25. Ataupillco J. 27. Barrios K. 66. de la Cruz A. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 77. Lucumi J. 10. Rios M.
Coaches
Reynoso J.	Castellanos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
38', Ganoza M. 🟨,
45+2', Caro D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Quagliata N. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
49', Guzman L. 🟨,
51', Ganoza M. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Caballero F. ⚽, Bilbao J. (A),
65', Vilchez J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
65', Caro D. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
67', Llontop M. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
67', Vidales J. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
76', Tandazo W. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
81', Arakaki H. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
83', Bordacahar C. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 3.

Melgar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ayacucho's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ayacucho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melgar is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Ayacucho: Barrios K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:13. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
10.08.25	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
05.08.25	FBC Melgar - Juan Pablo II College	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	FBC Melgar - Cusco	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Cajamarca - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTLW
- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
09.08.25	Ayacucho - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Ayacucho - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Ayacucho - Atlético Grau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
27.03.25	Ayacucho - FBC Melgar	2:3
08.10.22	FBC Melgar - Ayacucho	3:0
22.05.22	Ayacucho - FBC Melgar	0:1
17.09.21	FBC Melgar - Ayacucho	1:1
12.04.21	FBC Melgar - Ayacucho	0:0
31.10.20	Ayacucho - FBC Melgar	2:0
05.10.20	FBC Melgar - Ayacucho	0:0

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