Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Espinoza M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cusco		Ayacucho

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.46	4.35	6.9	Watch
	1.44	4.25	7.47
	1.48	4.1	6.88	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.46	4.01	7.23	Watch
	1.46	4.35	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.17 ↓ (4.21)	6.89 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
64.2%

Draw
22.3%

Ayacucho
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Cusco - Ayacucho Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 2. Saravia M. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 21. Zevallos J. 16. Valenzuela O. 26. Silva N. 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. 22. Colitto L. 9. Callejo F.	23. Valencia J. (G) 27. Barrios K. 2. Navarro G. 3. Ganoza M. 4. Yovera A. 5. Tamariz A. 77. Lucumi J. 18. Orue D. 19. Uribe C. 8. Ramirez D. 24. Perez Azambuya E. M.
Substitutes
32. Aquino J. 5. Aucca M. 17. Cardenas P. 4. Custodio A. 7. Da Silva P. 19. Gamarra C. 3. Milesi A. 11. Tevez J. 13. Vidal A. (G)	25. Ataupillco J. 12. Caro D. 20. Correa Flores C. A. 66. de la Cruz A. 7. Ferreira M. 1. Izaguirre P. (G) 15. Ratto P. 11. Ruidiaz Y. 17. Villamarin J.
Coaches
Rondelli M.	Ospina E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Colitto L. ⚽, Silva N. (A),
29', Tamariz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ramirez D. ↓, Villamarin J. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Silva N. ⚽, Diez C. (A),
60', Yovera A. ↓, Ratto P. ↑,
60', Lucumi J. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
71', Silva N. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
71', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
80', Tamariz A. ↓, Caro D. ↑,
86', Diez C. ↓, Cardenas P. ↑,
86', Colman I. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
90+2', Ampuero A. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cusco won 2.

Recent matches Cusco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ayacucho is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cusco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cusco is a favorite.

There will not play in Cusco: Ruidias M. (Red Card)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cusco won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 34:22 (average 1.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cusco won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:5 (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
13.04.25	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Cusco - Juan Pablo II College	4:2 ✺
28.03.25	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	2:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.25	Atlético Grau - Cusco	1:0 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.25	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLT
- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
11.04.25	Ayacucho - Cajamarca	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
27.03.25	Ayacucho - FBC Melgar	2:3 ✺
07.03.25	Alianza Lima - Ayacucho	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Ayacucho - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
11.09.21	Ayacucho - Cusco	1:3
20.11.20	Ayacucho - Cusco	3:1
01.10.20	Ayacucho - Cusco	1:1
02.11.19	Ayacucho - Cusco	1:1
18.05.19	Cusco - Ayacucho	3:0
25.11.18	Ayacucho - Cusco	1:1
26.08.18	Cusco - Ayacucho	2:1

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