Match Info

Championship - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Somerset Park (Ayr)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media, SPFL Matchcentre
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ayr United		Inverness

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.00	2.35
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.75	3.10	2.40	Watch
	3.18	3.16	2.41
	2.66	3.34	2.57	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.35
	2.94	3.20	2.50	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.84)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	2.42 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ayr United
32.3%

Draw
29.4%

Inverness
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ayr United - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Inverness will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inverness (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stone H. (G) 32. Watret D. 8. King L. 20. McBeth L. 33. McMann S. 11. Taylor R. 6. Lyon R. (C) 12. Whyte O. 17. Hatton T. 16. Summers B. 7. Stirton O.	1. Munro R. (G) 2. MacLeod C. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 8. Mackinnon A. 7. Allan P. 4. Shinnie G. 16. Duncan R. 17. Sole L. 11. Longstaff L. 35. Stewart A.
Substitutes
3. Dick L. 34. Douglas J. 5. Holt K. 9. Landers J. 2. McAllister N. 25. Mitchell K. 15. Murphy J. 38. Russell L. (G) 26. Warbrick M.	19. Bates M. 36. Bavidge A. 3. Boutin N. 14. Keir M. 26. MacGregor R. 12. MacKay D. 21. Ross L. (G) 15. Smith K.
Coaches
Naysmith G.	Kellacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Longstaff L. ⚽, Allan P. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Duncan R. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Stirton O. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Stewart A. 🟨,
67', Whyte O. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
67', Hatton T. ↓, Landers J. ↑,
68', Stewart A. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
68', Sole L. ↓, Bavidge A. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Mackinnon A. ⚽, Shinnie G. (A),
73', Savage R. 🟨,
79', Mackinnon A. 🟨,
83', Mackinnon A. ↓, Boutin N. ↑,
86', Stirton O. ↓, Mitchell K. ↑,
88', McMann S. 🟨,
89', Duncan R. ↓, MacKay D. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Championship (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Ayr has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Inverness: 4.71% Ayr: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ayr	9	3	2	4	9:10	-1	11
8	Inverness	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
05.09.26	Partick Thistle - Ayr United	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
14.08.26	Kilmarnock - Ayr United	3:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLT
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
05.09.26	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Inverness - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hearts - Inverness	6:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Arbroath - Inverness	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
24.02.26	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2
Scottish Football Championship
16.03.24	Inverness - Ayr United	1:2
06.01.24	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3
11.11.23	Inverness - Ayr United	3:1
12.08.23	Ayr United - Inverness	1:0
05.05.23	Inverness - Ayr United	1:2
04.03.23	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2

Upcoming Matches