Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)


	Raith Rovers		Queen of the South

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.72	3.2	4.5
	1.58	3.85	4.95
	1.56	4.1	4.94	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.56	3.68	5.37
	1.61	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)	3.66 ↑ (3.2)	4.93 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
56.9%

Draw
24.7%

Queen of the South
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

29.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Raith Rovers - Queen of the South Predictions

Users Predictions: Raith Rovers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raith Rovers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Easton D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 2.

In recent matches, Raith has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Queen of the South is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Raith is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Queen of South ✔	5	3	2	0	11:4	7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
03.01.26	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Raith Rovers - Ross County	6:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTWW
- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
03.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Queen of the South - Hamilton Academical	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Queen of the South - Montrose	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Queen of the South - Dunfermline Athletic	4:3 ✺
Scottish League One
13.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.06.22	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	1:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
03.04.22	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	3:1
Scottish Football Championship
12.03.22	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	0:1
01.02.22	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	3:3
06.11.21	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	1:1
11.09.21	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	0:1
13.04.21	Queen of the South - Raith Rovers	0:1

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