Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.45
	2.62	3.62	2.30	Watch
	2.44	3.84	2.44	Watch
	2.33	3.66	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.66)	3.66 ↑ (3.51)	2.41 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
37.2%

Draw
24.9%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

25.4%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Środa Wielkopolska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stargard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stargard won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.11.25	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Noteć Czarnków - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLTW
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.11.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków	2:6 ✺
18.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	4:2
28.03.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0
31.08.24	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0
15.05.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:3
21.10.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:3
28.05.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:3
29.10.22	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2

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