Match Info

Date: 17 June 2021, Thursday


	BFC Daugavpils		Ventspils

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	5
	1.46	4	5.6
	1.4	4.46	4.94
	1.47	3.9	5.8
	1.45	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.82)	4.16 ↑ (3.4)	5.57 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFC Daugavpils
62.1%

Draw
21.7%

Ventspils
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

21.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFC Daugavpils's performance.

Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ventspils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventspils than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	4.4%	15.6%

BFC Daugavpils - Ventspils Predictions

Users Predictions: BFC Daugavpils will win (36 of 45 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.31% – 91.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 8).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Ventspils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Daugavpils is a favorite.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Daugavpils won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 10-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Daugavpils won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
13.06.21	BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera	1:2 ✺
29.05.21	Rīgas FS - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
24.05.21	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	1:1 ✺
19.05.21	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	0:1 ✺
14.05.21	BFC Daugavpils - Noah Jūrmala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLTWL
- FK Ventspils
Latvian Virsliga
29.05.21	Ventspils - Spartaks	0:0 ✺
23.05.21	Liepāja - Ventspils	3:1 ✺
17.05.21	Ventspils - Noah Jūrmala	2:2 ✺
14.05.21	Ventspils - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
10.05.21	Rīgas FS - Ventspils	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
11.04.21	Ventspils - BFC Daugavpils	0:1
04.11.20	BFC Daugavpils - Ventspils	0:0
23.08.20	Ventspils - BFC Daugavpils	1:0
13.07.20	BFC Daugavpils - Ventspils	3:1
05.10.19	BFC Daugavpils - Ventspils	1:1
28.07.19	Ventspils - BFC Daugavpils	3:0
22.05.19	BFC Daugavpils - Ventspils	0:3

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