Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	BSAD		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.5	3.2	2.65
	2.7	3.33	2.76
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.54	3.22	2.61
	2.5	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3)	3.18 ↑ (3)	2.63 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
36.4%

Draw
28.8%

Estrela da Amadora
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.4%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BSAD's performance.

Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela da Amadora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BSAD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

BSAD - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.22	Académico de Viseu - BSAD	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	BSAD - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Torreense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Olhanense - BSAD	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.22	BSAD - Farense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Mafra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Estrela da Amadora - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Torreense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Oliveira Hospital - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWLL

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