Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Boavista		Vizela

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.63	3.9	5
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.7	3.79	5.6
	1.69	3.68	5.6
	1.62	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)	3.72 ↓ (4.12)	5.3 ↓ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
56.6%

Draw
25.5%

Vizela
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boavista's form might have worsened.

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boavista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Boavista - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Vizela will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Joao Goncalves (G) 26. Abascal R. (C) 23. Sasso V. 20. Ferreira F. 7. Agra S. 18. Vukotic I. 10. Reisinho M. 16. Silva J. 70. Onyemaechi B. 9. Bozenik R. 8. Lourenco B.	97. Buntic F. (G) 82. Costa Silva T. 4. Jota Goncalves 25. Escoval R. 19. Lebedenko O. 90. Nascimento D. 20. Samu (C) 10. Quina D. 34. Ortiz P. 6. Matheus Pereira 17. Lacava M.
Substitutes
5. Awaziem C. 80. Berna 6. Camara I. 1. Cesar (G) 90. Machado T. 35. Miguel G. 59. Tavares M. 13. Watai M.	11. Ba-Sy A. 28. Bruno Costa 73. Bursac N. (G) 22. Busnic A. 99. Essende S. 8. Mendez A. 2. Oliveira H. 23. Rashid O. 1. Ruberto F. (G)
Coaches
Simao J.	de la Barrera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Jota Goncalves 🟨,
23', Silva J. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Lebedenko O. ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Silva J. ⚽,
55', Vukotic I. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Lacava M. (A),
64', Quina D. ↓, Oliveira H. ↑,
69', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
69', Silva J. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
73', Matheus Pereira ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
79', Vukotic I. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
84', Lacava M. ↓, Busnic A. ↑,
84', Lourenco B. ↓, Berna ↑,
90+5', Awaziem C. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 2, Reisinho M. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1.

Boavista is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vizela is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boavista is a favorite.

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Yellow Cards) Malheiro P. (Red Card) Moraes Pires L. H. (Injury)

There will not play in Vizela: Anderson Jesus (Yellow Cards) Petrov S. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
12.05.24	Porto - Boavista	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Boavista - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Arouca - Boavista	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
11.05.24	Vizela - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
03.05.24	Moreirense - Vizela	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Vizela - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Braga - Vizela	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.01.24	Vizela - Boavista	1:4
17.04.23	Vizela - Boavista	1:1
30.10.22	Boavista - Vizela	2:2
06.02.22	Boavista - Vizela	2:2
28.08.21	Vizela - Boavista	1:1

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