Match Info

Date: 6 November 2020, Friday


	BSAD		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.15
	3.45	3	2.25	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.21
	3.63	3.22	2.26
	3.5	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.44	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.67)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
27.1%

Draw
30.1%

Rio Ave
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

30.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BSAD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	19.3%	70.2%

BSAD - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 6 - 10.5%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 40 - 70.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 58.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Belenenses has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rio Ave has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belenenses is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rio Ave is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Ave will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Liga Portugal
31.10.20	BSAD - Farense	1:1 ✺
26.10.20	Benfica - BSAD	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	BSAD - Moreirense	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Nacional - BSAD	0:0 ✺
28.09.20	BSAD - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTL
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
31.10.20	Rio Ave - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Farense - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Rio Ave - Benfica	0:3 ✺
04.10.20	Famalicão - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Rio Ave - Milan	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
29.02.20	Rio Ave - BSAD	0:0
21.09.19	BSAD - Rio Ave	0:2
20.04.19	BSAD - Rio Ave	1:3
16.12.18	Rio Ave - BSAD	2:2
14.01.18	BSAD - Rio Ave	1:2
07.08.17	Rio Ave - BSAD	1:0
20.05.17	Rio Ave - BSAD	2:0

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